Oscar Winner Predictions

 I feel quite uncertain this year.  Despite many signs pointing to a CODA win, I'm sticking to my guns and guessing The Power of the Dog walks away with just the two big ones... Picture and Director.

Looking at my predictions, I'm going with:

-6 awards for Dune (Cinematography, Score, Sound, Visual Effects, Film Editing, Production Design)

-2 awards for The Power of the Dog (Picture, Director)

-2 awards for CODA (Supporting Actor and Adapted Screenplay)

Picture

Belfast

CODA

Don't Look Up

Drive My Car

Dune

King Richard

Licorice Pizza

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

Will Win: The Power of the Dog

Could Win: CODA (I'm as close to 50/50 as I can be)

Should Win: The Power of the Dog

Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza

Kenneth Branagh, Belfast

Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog

Ryuskuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car

Steven Spielberg, West Side Story

Will Win: Campion

Runner-Up: Spielberg

Should Win: Campion

Actress

Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers

Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos

Kristen Stewart, Spencer

Will Win: Chastain 

Could Win: Cruz

Should Win: Colman (Although I haven't yet seen Parallel Mothers)

Actor

Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos

Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog

Andrew Garfield, tick, tick...BOOM!

Will Smith, King Richard

Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

Will Win: Smith

Runner-Up: Garfield

Should Win: Garfield

Supporting Actress

Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter

Ariana DeBose, West Side Story

Judi Dench, Belfast

Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

Aunjuane Ellis, King Richard

Will Win: DeBose

Runner-Up: Ellis

Should Win: Dunst

Supporting Actor

Ciaran Hinds, Belfast

Troy Kotsur, CODA

Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog

JK Simmons, Being the Ricardos

Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

Will Win: Kotsur

Runner-Up: Smit-McPhee

Should Win: Smit-McPhee

Original Screenplay

Belfast

Don't Look Up

King Richard

Licorice Pizza

The Worst Person in the World

Will Win: Belfast

Could Win: Licorice Pizza (but really maybe any of these?)

Should Win: The Worst Person in the World

Adapted Screenplay

CODA

Drive My Car

Dune

The Lost Daughter

The Power of the Dog

Will Win: CODA

Could Win: The Power of the Dog

Should Win: Drive My CAr

And the rest Will Win/Should Win

Cinematography: Dune/The Tragedy of Macbeth

Costumes: Cruella/West Side Story

Film Editing: Dune/The Power of the Dog

Makeup: The Eyes of Tammy Faye/Dune

Production Design: Dune/West Side Story

Score: Dune/The Power of the Dog

Song: No Time to Die/Dos Oruguitas

Sound: Dune/Dune

Visual Effects: Dune/Dune

Animated: Encanto/Encanto

Documentary: Summer of Soul/Summer of Soul

Foreign Film: Drive My Car/Drive My Car

Animated Short: Robin Robin/?

Documentary Short: The Queen of Basketball

Live-Action Short: The Long Goodbye