Update: 39/44 of the major noms. 89%! Perhaps a record for me?
My Predictions for tomorrow (in order of likelihood):
Picture
Once Upon a Time in HW
Parasite
The Irishman
1917
Marriage Story
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Ford v Ferrari
Possibilities:
The Farewell
Knives Out
Uncut Gems
The Two Popes
Bombshell
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Pain and Glory
Update: 9/9! A pretty predictable year.
Director
Quentin Tarantino (OUATIH)
Bong Joon Ho (Parasite)
Sam Mendes (1917)
Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
Greta Gerwig (Little Women)
Possibilities:
Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit)
Todd Phillips (Joker)
Benny Safdie and Josh Safdie (Uncut Gems)
Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)
Pedro Almodovar (Pain and Glory)
Lulu Wang (The Farewell)
Celine Sciamma (Portrait of a Lady on Fire)
James Mangold (Ford v Ferrari)
Update: 4/5. Sadly, Gerwig missed out for Phillips.
Actress
Renee Zellwegger (Judy)
Scarlett Johannson (Marriage Story)
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
Saorsie Ronan (Little Women)
Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)
Possibilites:
Lupita Nyongo (Us)
Awkwafina (The Farewell)
Alfre Woodard (Clemency)
Update: 5/5, although I'm not happy about it!
Actor (A bloodbath!)
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
Leonardo DiCaprio (OUATIH)
Taron Egerton (Rocketman)
Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)
Possibilities:
Christian Bale (Ford v. Ferrari)
Robert de Niro (The Irishman)
Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems)
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)
Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is My Name)
George Mackay (1917)
Update: 4/5. They went with Pryce over Egerton
Supporting Actress
Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)
Margot Robbie (Bombshell)
Florence Pugh (Little Women)
Scarlett Johannson (Jojo Rabbit)
Possibilities:
Zhao Shuzen (The Farewell)
Margot Robbie (OUATIH)
Annette Bening (The Report)
Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell)
Nicole Kidman (Bomshell)
Lee Jung Eun (Parasite)
4/5: A shocking snub of Lopez for Bates.
Supporting Actor
Brad Pitt (OUATIH)
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Al Pacino (The Irishman)
Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
Song Kang Ho (Parasite)
Possibilities:
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)
Alan Alda (Marriage Story)
Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
Willem Defoe (The Lighthouse)
Update: 4/5. Hopkins over Kang Ho.
Adapted Screenplay
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Joker
The Two Popes
Possibilities:
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Hustlers
Just Mercy
Update: 5/5. Nailed it as many folks did.
Original Screenplay
OUATIH
Marriage Story
Parasite
Knives Out
The Farewell
Possibilities:
1917
Booksmart
Pain and Glory
Bombshell
Uncut Gems
Update: 4/5. 1917 over The Farewell (sadly).
