Best Picture
Oppenheimer
Killers of the Flower Moon
Barbie
The Holdovers
Poor Things
Past Lives
Anatomy of a Fall
American Fiction
Maestro
The Zone of Interest
Possibilities:
The Color Purple
Saltburn
May December
Origin
Air
Spider-Man: Across the Spiderverse
All of Us Strangers
Rarely has a lineup felt this settled. Any of the possibilities making it in would be a pretty major shock.
Results: 10/10.
Director
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Alexander Payne, The Holdovers
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Possibilities
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
Celine Song, Past Lives
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Cord Jefferson, American Fiction
Ava DuVernay, Origin
It's killing me to leave the 3 female directors in the 3 runner-up slots (when all should make it in), but that's what I'm thinking.
Results: Gerwig indeed missed. But so did Payne, making way for Justine Triet (!).
Actress
Emma Stone, Poor Things
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Possibilities
Greta Lee, Past Lives
Annette Bening, Nyad
Aunjane Ellis-Taylor, Origin
Fantasia Barrino, The Color Purple
Natalie Portman, May December
Results: Robbie missed for Annette Bening. Hmmm.
Actor
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Possibilities
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers
Barry Keoghan, Saltburn
Zac Efron, The Iron Claw
Results: Nailed it!
Supporting Actress
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Julianne Moore, May December
Possibilities
Sandra Huller, The Zone of Interest
Rosamund Pike, Saltburn
Penelope Cruz, Ferrari
America Ferrera, Barbie
Taraji P. Henson, The Color Purple
Rachel McAdams, Are You There God, It's Me, Margaret?
Claire Foy, All of Us Strangers
Beyond the top 2, there are MANY possibilities for those last 3 spots.
Results: Moore missed (boo!) for America Ferrera. Huh.
Supporting Actor
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Robert de Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Willem Defoe, Poor Things
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Possibilities
Charles Melton, May December
Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers
Paul Mescal, All of Us Strangers
Jacob Elordi, Saltburn
Just like Supporting Actress, a real fight for those final 3 spots!
Results: Defoe missed for Sterling K. Brown. A good lineup!
Adapted Screenplay
Barbie
Oppenheimer
American Fiction
Poor Things
Killers of the Flower Moon
Possibilities
The Zone of Interest
All of Us Strangers
Are You There God, It's Me Margaret?
This feels almost too easy. Are we in for a shocking miss?
Results: Killers was the shocking miss, with The Zone of Interest sliding in.
Original Screenplay
The Holdovers
Anatomy of a Fall
Past Lives
May December
Maestro
Possibilities
Saltburn
Air
The Iron Claw
Results: Nailed it.
