The Directors Guild of America, with an excellent predictive track record, gave their Director award to Danny Boyle for Slumdog. That settles it- Slumdog has won the Screen Actors Guild, Golden Globe, Producers Guild, and Directors Guild awards. It's in. I don't believe any other movie has ever won this many awards and then lost Best Picture. It won't be the best choice Oscar has ever made, but it certainly won't be the worse (see my review a few posts below).
Hopefully a couple of the actor's races will stay semi-interesting.