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Sunday, January 17, 2010

Golden Globe Predictions

Tonight are the Golden Globes, the most-watched awards ceremony after the Oscars. The ceremony tends to have a much more loose vibe than the Oscars, and I think a good speech at these awards can really help some winners in their search for Oscar.

I'll be live-blogging during the ceremony, but here are my predictions and preferences for the film awards (I'll leave the TV awards to someone else- I'm basically pulling for Mad Men and 30 Rock in every possible category).

Best Motion Picture – Drama
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire
Up in the Air

Will Win: Avatar

Should Win: The Hurt Locker

Best Director – Motion Picture
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up In The Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Will Win: Bigelow

Should Win: Bigelow

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Neill Blomkamp, Terri Tatchell – District 9
Mark Boal – The Hurt Locker
Quentin Tarantino – Inglourious Basterds
Nancy Meyers – It’s Complicated
Jason Reitman, Sheldon Turner, Up In The Air

Will Win: Up in the Air

Should Win: Up in the Air

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

Will Win: Sandra Bullock (pains me to say it, but there is my prediction)

Should Win: Carey Mulligan

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up In The Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Tobey Maguire, Brothers

Will Win: Bridges

Should Win: Clooney (although I've only seen Clooney and Freeman's performances)

Best Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
(500) Days Of Summer

The Hangover

It’s Complicated

Julie & Julia
Nine


Will Win: Toughest call, but I'm gonna say Nine. Even with its bad reviews, the Globes love their musicals. In 1996, Evita beat Fargo for this award.... I can actually see this going to any of these except It's Complicated though.

Should Win: Of the two I've seen (Julie & Julia, (500) Days), I'll say Julie & Julia.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
Sandra Bullock – The Proposal
Marion Cotillard – Nine
Julia Roberts – Duplicity
Meryl Streep – It’s Complicated
Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia

Will Win: Streep (J&J)

Should Win: Streep (J&J)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy Or Musical
Matt Damon, The Informant!
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Robert Downey Jr., Sherlock Holmes
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, (500) Days Of Summer
Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man

Will Win: Damon

Should Win: Stuhlbarg (although I've only seen Stuhlbarg and Gordon-Levitt)

Best Performance by an Actress In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Penélope Cruz – Nine
Vera Farmiga – Up In The Air
Anna Kendrick – Up In The Air
Mo’nique – Precious: Based On The Novel Push By Sapphire
Julianne Moore – A Single Man

Will Win: Mo'nique

Should Win: As much as I love me some Vera Farmiga, I've gotta give it to Mo'nique.

Best Performance by an Actor In A Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Matt Damon – Invictus
Woody Harrelson – The Messenger
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz – Inglourious Basterds

Will Win: Waltz

Should Win: Waltz (I've only seen Waltz and Damon)

Best Animated Feature Film
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox

The Princess And The Frog
Up

Will Win: Up

Should Win: Coraline

Best Foreign Language Film
Baaria (Italy)
Broken Embraces (Spain)
The Maid (La Nana) (Chile)
A Prophet (Un Prophete) (France)

The White Ribbon (Das Weisse Band – Eine Deutsche Kindergeschichte) (Germany)


Will Win: A Prophet

Should Win: I've only seen Broken Embraces, and I liked it.

Best Original Score – Motion Picture
Michael Giacchino – Up
Marvin Hamlisch – The Informant!
James Horner – Avatar
Abel Korzeniowski – A Single Man
Karen O and Carter Burwell – Where The Wild Things Are

Will Win: Avatar
Should Win: Where the Wild Things Are

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