First a few thoughts before I run through the major categories.
-Overall, this is a really terrific lineup of actors. There is almost no "filler" from mediocre movies like we saw last year (The Last Station, The Lovely Bones, Nine, Invictus).
-My favorite category: Best Supporting Actor-LOVE this lineup. Followed closely by Best Actress.
-Least favorite category: Best Supporting Actress. Not bad at all. Just not as filled with greatness as the other acting categories.
-There's some great young talent out there. Natalie Portman, Jennifer Lawrence, Michelle Williams, James Franco, Jesse Eisenberg, Hailee Steinfeld are 32 or under.
-I'm so glad for the Winter's Bone love. Picture, Actress, Supporting Actor (John Hawkes in a bit of a surprise), and Adapted Screenplay. It's the only true indie in the Best Picture race, and it's damn good. See it if you haven't.
-Jacki Weaver in Animal Kingdom. A great performance in a small Australian movie. I'm glad the Academy recognized it.
-Exit Through the Gift Shop in Best Documentary. Unlike typical Academy tastes, but what a great movie. Check it out on Netflix watch now.
-Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine. Great choice for the coveted fifth slot.
-I didn't really think Ryan Gosling would get nominated for Best Actor for Blue Valentine, but there was an outside chance the Academy didn't take. His was probably my favorite performance of the year.
-No costume design nomination for Black Swan. Really??
-No Film Editing nomination for Inception. It certainly wasn't one of my favorite movies of the year, but its editing was superb.
-Despite the love for many aspects of 127 Hours, no Cinematography nomination for 127 Hours. Wasn't that kind of its greatest strength?
The Kids Are All Right
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
How I Did: 4/5. I thought The Town would get in instead of 127 Hours, which did much better than I expected today. A nice lineup of scripts.
Who Will Win: The Social Network. For sure.
My Stats: Of the categories I predicted, I got 39/45 for a percentage of 87%. Not too shabby. This is EXACTLY the percentage I got last year. Maybe one year I'll up it to 90%.
If you'd like to see the whole list, go here